Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000047 0.000050 0.000053 0.000056 0.000060 0.000063 0.000067
2025-06-22 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000055 0.000060 0.000066 0.000073
2025-06-29 0.000038 0.000042 0.000047 0.000053 0.000060 0.000067 0.000077
2025-07-06 0.000035 0.000039 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000067 0.000079
2025-07-13 0.000032 0.000037 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080
2025-07-20 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000048 0.000058 0.000070 0.000087
2025-08-03 0.000028 0.000034 0.000040 0.000049 0.000060 0.000073 0.000093
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000077 0.000099
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000077 0.000100
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000060 0.000076 0.000101
2025-08-31 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000080 0.000108
2025-09-07 0.000024 0.000030 0.000038 0.000049 0.000063 0.000084 0.000115
2025-09-14 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000062 0.000084 0.000117
2025-09-21 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000046 0.000061 0.000083 0.000118
2025-09-28 0.000021 0.000026 0.000034 0.000044 0.000059 0.000081 0.000117
2025-10-05 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000042 0.000058 0.000080 0.000116
2025-10-12 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000041 0.000057 0.000079 0.000117
2025-10-19 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000042 0.000058 0.000082 0.000123
2025-10-26 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000042 0.000059 0.000085 0.000130
2025-11-02 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000043 0.000061 0.000089 0.000138
2025-11-09 0.000017 0.000023 0.000030 0.000042 0.000060 0.000088 0.000139
2025-11-16 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000041 0.000059 0.000087 0.000139